Tropical Storm PAUL
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TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162012
0300 UTC SUN OCT 14 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 114.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 114.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 113.7W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.6N 114.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.8N 115.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.7N 115.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.9N 114.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.6N 114.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.5N 114.5W...OVER LAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 114.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
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FORECASTER LANDSEA/SARDI
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