Tropical Depression HECTOR
ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082012
200 PM PDT THU AUG 16 2012
ALL THAT REMAINS OF HECTOR IS A RELATIVELY SHAPELESS BLOB OF DEEP
CONVECTION DISPLACED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF THE NOW LESS-DEFINED
CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 25 KT
BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB. AS HECTOR
CONTINUES TO SUFFER FROM MODERATE EASTERLY WIND SHEAR...AN
INTRUDING STABLE MARINE-LAYER AIR MASS... AND GRADUALLY DECREASING
SSTS...THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN LESS THAN
24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE IN 3 DAYS.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS A PERSISTENT 335/4 KT...AND THIS GENERAL
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...OR UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR
TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS BASED ON THE HFIP TV15 MODEL
CONSENSUS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/2100Z 19.9N 116.1W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 17/0600Z 20.6N 116.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 17/1800Z 21.6N 116.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 18/0600Z 22.4N 117.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 18/1800Z 23.2N 117.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
NNNN