Post-Tropical Cyclone GILMA
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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072012
200 PM PDT SAT AUG 11 2012
GILMA IS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS THAT HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP
CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 15 HOURS...AND IT IS NOW A POST-TROPICAL
REMNANT LOW. HOWEVER...SINCE THE CYCLONE HAD A VIGOROUS CIRCULATION
EARLIER...WINDS COULD STILL BE AT 30 KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
THE REMNANT LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. NOW
THAT GILMA IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED MORE
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GILMA.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/2100Z 20.6N 120.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 12/0600Z 21.0N 121.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 12/1800Z 21.5N 122.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER AVILA
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