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Tropical Storm SANDY


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
JAMAICA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  77.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  77.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  78.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.9N  77.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N  77.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.9N  77.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.4N  76.8W...ON NORTH COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.6N  76.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 100SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 28.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 31.0N  70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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