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Hurricane MICHAEL


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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  48.0W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  48.0W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N  47.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.7N  48.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 42.0N  46.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 47.2N  41.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 110SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 52.2N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 160SE 100SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N  48.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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