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Tropical Depression TEN


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102012
2100 UTC WED AUG 22 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  37.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  37.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  37.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.0N  39.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.0N  42.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N  44.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.1N  47.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.9N  53.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 28.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  37.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY
 
 
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