Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression DEBBY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042012               
0300 UTC WED JUN 27 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       4      12      16      14      13      11      14
TROP DEPRESSION 63      52      46      34      25      21      25
TROPICAL STORM  33      34      36      47      52      54      49
HURRICANE        1       2       3       5      10      14      13
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       1       2       5       9      11      11
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       1       1       2       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       1       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   30KT    30KT    30KT    35KT    40KT    45KT    45KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS     34  4   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34 11   8(19)   1(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  9   5(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  4   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  4   7(11)   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   3(13)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN