Tropical Depression BERYL
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
0300 UTC TUE MAY 29 2012
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 10 23 28 30 30 32 NA
TROP DEPRESSION 75 55 40 28 15 17 NA
TROPICAL STORM 15 21 31 39 46 42 NA
HURRICANE X X 2 4 9 9 NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 X X 2 4 8 9 NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X X 1 1 NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25KT 25KT 30KT 35KT 40KT 40KT NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 11(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MAYPORT NS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
NNNN
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