Tropical Storm JOVA
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TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102011
0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOVA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.4W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 150SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.4W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 110.5W
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 108.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 55SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 105SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.6N 107.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 65SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 105SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.8N 106.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 70SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 135SE 105SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 65SE 45SW 40NW.
34 KT...105NE 135SE 105SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 21.5N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 110.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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