Tropical Storm LEE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132011               
2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       2       8      13      24      56      67      NA
TROP DEPRESSION 44      43      39      43      33      24      NA
TROPICAL STORM  54      48      46      32      11       8      NA
HURRICANE        X       2       2       1       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        X       2       2       1       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    35KT    35KT    30KT    20KT    20KT    NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  1   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  1   5( 6)  14(20)   6(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  5  15(20)  11(31)   1(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  3   6( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
MOBILE AL      34 14  24(38)   8(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
MOBILE AL      50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GULFPORT MS    50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
STENNIS SC     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
STENNIS SC     50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  7   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
JACKSON MS     34  8   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 30  14(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34 74   3(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
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