Tropical Storm PAULA

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TROPICAL STORM PAULA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182010
1500 UTC THU OCT 14 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  84.1W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  84.1W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  84.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 23.1N  83.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.0N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.0N  80.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N  80.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N  84.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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