Hurricane RICK
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HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
0300 UTC MON OCT 19 2009
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY MONDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 110.3W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 936 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 220SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 110.3W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.9W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.9N 111.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.2N 111.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 135SE 120SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.7N 110.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 135SE 105SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.0N 107.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 130SE 105SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 26.5N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 110.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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