Hurricane JIMENA

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HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2009
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND ON THE EAST COAST TO
LORETO.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST
COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS.  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...AND PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA
EUGENIA...AND NORTH OF LORETO ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  THIS WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 110.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  931 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 110.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 109.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.6N 110.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.5N 111.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 26.7N 112.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.4N 113.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 30.0N 113.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 31.5N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 110.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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