Hurricane CARLOS
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HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
0900 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 129.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 25SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 129.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 128.8W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 10.3N 130.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 10.7N 131.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.0N 133.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.4N 135.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 11.9N 140.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 12.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 12.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 129.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA
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