Tropical Storm HERNAN

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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0300 UTC TUE AUG 12 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 131.7W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 140SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 131.7W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 131.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.7N 132.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.3N 134.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.8N 136.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.2N 137.6W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 141.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 15.5N 149.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 131.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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