Hurricane HERNAN

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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
2100 UTC SAT AUG 09 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 124.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 124.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 123.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.8N 125.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.4N 126.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.7N 128.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.8N 129.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.8N 131.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 16.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 124.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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