Tropical Storm HERNAN

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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
1500 UTC THU AUG 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.1W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 115.1W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 114.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.4N 116.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N 128.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 19.0N 132.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 115.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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