Tropical Storm HERNAN

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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0300 UTC THU AUG 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 112.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.5N 114.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.8N 118.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.4N 119.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.6N 123.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 18.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.0N 130.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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