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Tropical Depression GENEVIEVE


ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082008
200 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2008
 
GENEVIEVE IS JUST ABOUT DONE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  IN FACT...SINCE
DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABSENT FOR MORE THAN EIGHT HOURS...IT
REALLY DOES NOT QUALIFY AS ONE NOW...BUT IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT THAT
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION REFIRES THIS MORNING...ADVISORIES WILL BE
CONTINUED A LITTLE LONGER.  QUIKSCAT AT 02Z RETRIEVED 30-35 KT
WINDS...AND WITH THE CYCLONE IN THE SPIN-DOWN CYCLE...THERE ARE
PROBABLY NO MORE WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE NOW.  THE ADVISORY
INTENSITY IS SET TO 30 KT...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH A BLEND OF THE
06Z DVORAK T AND CI NUMBERS.  THE MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN SOME
MORE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION EXPENDS
ENERGY OVER COOLER WATERS AND WITHIN A STABLE ENVIRONMENT.

THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL SWIRL IS HEADED DUE WESTWARD OR
270/10...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OR HEADING IS EXPECTED
AS THE REMNANT LOW MOVES ALONG IN THE EASTERLY TRADES.  A CLOSED
CIRCULATION COULD PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE DAYS...SO THE TRACK
FORECAST EXTENDS OUT TO 96 HOURS.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/0900Z 16.8N 123.5W    30 KT
 12HR VT     27/1800Z 16.9N 125.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/0600Z 17.2N 127.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     28/1800Z 17.5N 128.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/0600Z 17.7N 130.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     30/0600Z 18.0N 133.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     31/0600Z 18.0N 137.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
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