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Hurricane OMAR


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HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
AT 11 PM AST...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST.
MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS...BY THEIR
RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS.
 
AT 11 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.  A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  68.1W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  68.1W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N  67.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.7N  65.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N  63.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.9N  61.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 33.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  68.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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