Tropical Depression IVO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007               
0900 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CULICAN        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 227N 1106W 34  4   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 227N 1106W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 227N 1106W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 233N 1097W 34  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 233N 1097W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 233N 1097W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 239N 1090W 34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 36 239N 1090W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 239N 1090W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 246N 1086W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 246N 1086W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 246N 1086W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     20      20      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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