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Tropical Storm OLGA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007               
1500 UTC WED DEC 12 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MAYAGUANA      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GRAND TURK     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
HAVANA         34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   3(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
CAMAGUEY       34 18   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 192N  776W 34 18   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 12 192N  776W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 192N  776W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 195N  805W 34  1  12(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 195N  805W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 195N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 200N  827W 34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   2(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 36 200N  827W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 200N  827W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 205N  845W 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 48 205N  845W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 205N  845W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 215N  865W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 215N  865W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 215N  865W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      25      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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