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Subtropical Storm OLGA


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SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007
200 PM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
 
...CENTER OF OLGA MAKING LANDFALL IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE
ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST OR ALONG THE
COAST AT THE EASTERNMOST TIP OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR PUNTA
CANA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF
SANTO DOMINGO.
 
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS OLGA HAS BEEN MOVING TO THE WEST-
NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...15 KM/HR...BUT A RETURN TO A WESTWARD TRACK
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED
TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
OLGA'S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A CHARACTERISTIC OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM TO THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY
PRODUCED LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO
RICO.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N...68.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN
 
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