Tropical Storm NOEL

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TROPICAL STORM NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
2100 UTC THU NOV 01 2007
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  77.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  77.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  77.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 27.6N  75.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 30.7N  73.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE  90SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N  71.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 180SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 39.0N  68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 240SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 50.5N  60.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...300NE 300SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...480NE 540SE 420SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 60.0N  52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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