Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182006               
0900 UTC FRI OCT 27 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 164N 1077W 34 14   8(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 12 164N 1077W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 164N 1077W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 160N 1095W 34  1  21(22)  13(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 24 160N 1095W 50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 160N 1095W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 157N 1115W 34  X   4( 4)  26(30)  10(40)   2(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 36 157N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 157N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 155N 1136W 34  X   X( X)   9( 9)  18(27)   9(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 48 155N 1136W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 155N 1136W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 155N 1175W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)   5(24)   1(25)
 72 155N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 72 155N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
 96 155N 1215W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   4(15)
 96 155N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 96 155N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 155N 1255W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
120 155N 1255W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 155N 1255W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      45      45      45      40      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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