Tropical Storm PAUL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PAUL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
0900 UTC WED OCT 25 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 22 1(23) X(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAZATLAN 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 228N 1088W 34 52 1(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
12 228N 1088W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 228N 1088W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 233N 1080W 34 21 6(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 233N 1080W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 233N 1080W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 235N 1065W 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
36 235N 1065W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 235N 1065W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 235N 1055W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 235N 1055W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 235N 1055W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 25 20 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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