Hurricane PAUL
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HURRICANE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
0900 UTC MON OCT 23 2006
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 111.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 111.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 111.3W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.2N 111.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.1N 111.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.4N 110.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.6N 108.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.0N 104.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 111.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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