Tropical Storm JOHN

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LONG BEACH/LA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TIJUANA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ENSENADA       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  6   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GUAYMAS        34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 280N 1133W 34 30   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 12 280N 1133W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 280N 1133W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 289N 1141W 34  5  14(19)   3(22)   X(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 289N 1141W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 289N 1141W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 298N 1151W 34  X   6( 6)   5(11)   2(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 36 298N 1151W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 298N 1151W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 302N 1160W 34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 48 302N 1160W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 302N 1160W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 305N 1180W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 72 305N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 305N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN