Tropical Storm JOHN

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006               
0900 UTC SUN SEP 03 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
P ABREOJOS     34  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
LORETO         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GUAYMAS        34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 271N 1127W 34 25   7(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 12 271N 1127W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 271N 1127W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 281N 1137W 34  2  12(14)   3(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 24 281N 1137W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 281N 1137W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 292N 1147W 34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 36 292N 1147W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 292N 1147W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 299N 1158W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 299N 1158W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 299N 1158W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 300N 1180W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 300N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 300N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN