Hurricane JOHN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
0900 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 14(20) 5(25) 1(26)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 21(22) 40(62) 13(75) 7(82) X(82) X(82)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 5( 5) 31(36) 13(49) 6(55) X(55) X(55)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) 17(18) 9(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 22(23) 42(65) 13(78) 7(85) X(85) X(85)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 5( 5) 32(37) 13(50) 6(56) 1(57) X(57)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 1( 1) 21(22) 10(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35)
LA PAZ 34 X 5( 5) 33(38) 23(61) 12(73) 2(75) X(75)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 13(13) 18(31) 11(42) X(42) X(42)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 17(32) 3(35) X(35)
LORETO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 8(18) 1(19) 1(20)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 12(24) 7(31) 1(32) X(32)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 X 5( 5) 25(30) 16(46) 8(54) 1(55) X(55)
CULICAN 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20)
CULICAN 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
MAZATLAN 34 2 23(25) 11(36) 3(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42)
MAZATLAN 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MAZATLAN 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 22 15(37) 2(39) 2(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
SAN BLAS 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 66 3(69) 1(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
P VALLARTA 50 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
P VALLARTA 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MANZANILLO 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) 1(13)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 54 29(83) 2(85) 2(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 11 33(44) 3(47) X(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 2 19(21) 2(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 200N 1066W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 200N 1066W 50 85 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 200N 1066W 64 64 13(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
24 216N 1080W 34 14 73(87) 6(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 216N 1080W 50 2 61(63) 9(72) 2(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75)
24 216N 1080W 64 X 41(41) 12(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
36 227N 1093W 34 2 38(40) 36(76) 8(84) 4(88) X(88) X(88)
36 227N 1093W 50 X 13(13) 36(49) 9(58) 4(62) X(62) X(62)
36 227N 1093W 64 X 5( 5) 25(30) 8(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41)
48 234N 1106W 34 X 8( 8) 37(45) 20(65) 12(77) 1(78) X(78)
48 234N 1106W 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) 17(36) 8(44) 1(45) X(45)
48 234N 1106W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26)
72 240N 1135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 30(48) 8(56) 1(57)
72 240N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 5(24) X(24)
72 240N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12)
96 240N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 1(26)
96 240N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
96 240N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 240N 1220W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
120 240N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 240N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 115 115 105 90 70 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
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