Tropical Storm JOHN

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TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 02 2006
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO SAN
EVARISTO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST
COAST FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO
PUNTA EUGENIA AND SOUTHWARD TO SANTA FE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD
TO SANTA FE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF JOHN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 111.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  25SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 111.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.8N 112.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  25SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.8N 113.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.8N 114.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.7N 115.3W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 29.5N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 29.5N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 111.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
 
 
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