Hurricane JOHN

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HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTHWARD FROM SAN EVERISTO
TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST.  THESE WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST LATER TONIGHT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 109.0W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 109.0W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 108.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.6N 109.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.7N 111.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.6N 112.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 29.0N 119.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 29.0N 122.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 109.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
 
 
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