Hurricane JOHN

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HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST
COAST...AND NORTHWARD FROM SAN EVERISTO TO LORETO ON THE EAST
COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN
BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY IN THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN
MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 107.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 107.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 107.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.4N 110.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 24.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 26.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 107.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
 
 
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