Hurricane JOHN

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2006
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO
CARDENAS WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND ALSO
FROM LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTO MALDONADO TO
LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUNTO MALDONADO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 100.4W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 100.4W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.0N 101.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.2N 103.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.8N 105.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.2N 107.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.8N 111.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 22.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 100.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
 
 
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