Tropical Storm JOHN

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TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2006
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO LAZARO CARDENAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  97.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  97.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  97.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.3N  98.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.8N  99.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 15.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.3N 103.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.4N 108.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 21.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 22.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  97.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
 
 
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