Hurricane HECTOR

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HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
0300 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.9N 124.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.7N 126.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.6N 128.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.4N 130.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.5N 138.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 123.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
 
 
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