Tropical Depression NINE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
2100 UTC TUE AUG 15 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.9N 117.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  45SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.3N 119.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.1N 121.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.1N 125.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 19.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 114.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
 
 
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