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Tropical Storm HECTOR

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TROPICAL STORM HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006
 
HECTOR CONTINUES TO CLING TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS...AS A 1444 UTC
QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED A SMALL AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE.  THE CYCLONE IS LOCATED OVER SSTS OF
23C...AND IT IS PRODUCING ONLY A LIMITED AREA OF SHALLOW CONVECTION
MORE THAN 160 NM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  THE SHIPS MODEL
DISSIPATES THE CYCLONE IN 36 HOURS...AND THIS FORECAST DOES THE
SAME AFTER THE SYSTEM BECOMES A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS SET AT 280/6...AND HECTOR WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SPEED BEFORE
DISSIPATION.  THIS TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MOTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      22/2100Z 22.9N 137.4W    35 KT
 12HR VT     23/0600Z 23.2N 138.7W    30 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     23/1800Z 23.6N 141.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     24/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/FRANKLIN
 
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