Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
1500 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 4(16) X(16)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 7(22) 1(23)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1373W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 154N 1373W 50 83 7(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 154N 1373W 64 50 15(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
24 159N 1391W 34 35 53(88) 5(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
24 159N 1391W 50 3 54(57) 7(64) 2(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
24 159N 1391W 64 X 29(29) 9(38) 1(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40)
36 163N 1404W 34 2 52(54) 22(76) 5(81) 2(83) 1(84) X(84)
36 163N 1404W 50 X 16(16) 24(40) 7(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49)
36 163N 1404W 64 X 5( 5) 15(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
48 168N 1418W 34 1 13(14) 30(44) 15(59) 8(67) 1(68) 1(69)
48 168N 1418W 50 X 2( 2) 12(14) 12(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32)
48 168N 1418W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
72 178N 1440W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 17(38) 6(44) 1(45)
72 178N 1440W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) X(14)
72 178N 1440W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 190N 1475W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 3(19)
96 190N 1475W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
96 190N 1475W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 200N 1525W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 200N 1525W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 200N 1525W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 95 85 75 65 55 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
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