Hurricane DANIEL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 119N 1191W 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 119N 1191W 50 74  11(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 12 119N 1191W 64 36  15(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 24 120N 1210W 34 21  64(85)   7(92)   1(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)
 24 120N 1210W 50  2  52(54)  12(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 24 120N 1210W 64  X  25(25)  11(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
 36 123N 1227W 34  3  33(36)  38(74)   9(83)   4(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 123N 1227W 50  X   8( 8)  36(44)  11(55)   3(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 123N 1227W 64  X   2( 2)  19(21)   8(29)   2(31)   1(32)   X(32)
 
 48 128N 1244W 34  1   5( 6)  31(37)  28(65)  14(79)   1(80)   1(81)
 48 128N 1244W 50  X   X( X)  12(12)  23(35)  13(48)   1(49)   X(49)
 48 128N 1244W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   9(24)   1(25)   X(25)
 
 
 72 137N 1278W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  38(49)  11(60)   1(61)
 72 137N 1278W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   7(28)   1(29)
 72 137N 1278W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)   X(15)
 
 
 96 145N 1310W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  21(33)   5(38)
 96 145N 1310W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   2(13)
 96 145N 1310W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
 
120 160N 1350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)
120 160N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
120 160N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     85      95     100     100      85      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN