Hurricane DANIEL

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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
0300 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 123.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.1N 127.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.0N 130.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 124.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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