Hurricane DANIEL
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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
1500 UTC THU JUL 20 2006
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 122.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 122.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.2W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.9N 123.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.3N 125.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.8N 126.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.3N 128.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.3N 131.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.3N 134.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 122.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
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FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA
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