Tropical Depression ALETTA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006               
1500Z TUE MAY 30 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 159N 1042W 34 17   5(22)   X(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 12 159N 1042W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 159N 1042W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 156N 1053W 34  4   8(12)   3(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   1(17)
 24 156N 1053W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 156N 1053W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 153N 1065W 34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 36 153N 1065W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 153N 1065W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 151N 1076W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 48 151N 1076W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 151N 1076W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 150N 1095W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 72 150N 1095W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 72 150N 1095W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 150N 1115W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 96 150N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 150N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 150N 1140W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
120 150N 1140W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 150N 1140W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20      20      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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