Tropical Storm ALETTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
2100Z MON MAY 29 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
L CARDENAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 159N 1028W 34 42 14(56) 2(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
12 159N 1028W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 159N 1028W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 158N 1037W 34 12 24(36) 5(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44)
24 158N 1037W 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 158N 1037W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 158N 1047W 34 2 13(15) 9(24) 5(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
36 158N 1047W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 158N 1047W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 156N 1057W 34 1 4( 5) 7(12) 8(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25)
48 156N 1057W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 156N 1057W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 155N 1075W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 1(15)
72 155N 1075W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 155N 1075W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 155N 1090W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
96 155N 1090W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 155N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 155N 1110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
120 155N 1110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 155N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 40 35 35 30 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
$$
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