Tropical Storm ALETTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
2100Z SAT MAY 27 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10)
L CARDENAS 34 1 1( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) 8(20) 4(24) 2(26)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 4( 5) 9(14) 6(20) 8(28) 3(31) 1(32)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ACAPULCO 34 17 15(32) 11(43) 3(46) 2(48) 2(50) X(50)
ACAPULCO 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P MALDONADO 34 9 14(23) 10(33) 3(36) 3(39) 1(40) 1(41)
P MALDONADO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
P ANGEL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
HUATULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 160N 1002W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 160N 1002W 50 4 5( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17)
12 160N 1002W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 163N 999W 34 47 11(58) 5(63) 1(64) X(64) 1(65) 1(66)
24 163N 999W 50 3 5( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 3(17) X(17) 1(18)
24 163N 999W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
36 167N 1003W 34 23 13(36) 10(46) 3(49) 2(51) 2(53) X(53)
36 167N 1003W 50 2 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15)
36 167N 1003W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 169N 1007W 34 12 11(23) 13(36) 4(40) 3(43) 3(46) 1(47)
48 169N 1007W 50 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13)
48 169N 1007W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 170N 1015W 34 3 6( 9) 12(21) 6(27) 7(34) 3(37) 1(38)
72 170N 1015W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 5(10) X(10) 1(11)
72 170N 1015W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 168N 1025W 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 9(24) 5(29) 2(31)
96 168N 1025W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
96 168N 1025W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
120 165N 1035W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 9(15) 6(21) 3(24)
120 165N 1035W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
120 165N 1035W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 55 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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