Tropical Depression SEVEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 9(22)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 214N 575W 34 36 12(48) 2(50) 1(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)
12 214N 575W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 214N 575W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 223N 586W 34 7 27(34) 10(44) 2(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49)
24 223N 586W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 223N 586W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 233N 596W 34 1 11(12) 23(35) 7(42) 5(47) 2(49) X(49)
36 233N 596W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13)
36 233N 596W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 243N 606W 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 15(34) 9(43) 3(46) 1(47)
48 243N 606W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15)
48 243N 606W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
72 265N 620W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 21(34) 8(42) 2(44)
72 265N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) 2(15)
72 265N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
96 290N 624W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 12(30) 5(35)
96 290N 624W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 3(12)
96 290N 624W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 320N 615W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 8(24)
120 320N 615W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
120 320N 615W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 40 45 50 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: