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Hurricane EMILY


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HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005
 
...EMILY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES
   NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND FAR SOUTH TEXAS COASTAL AREAS......
...EMILY EXPECTED TO BECOME MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING S IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST OR ABOUT 185
MILES... 300 KM... EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 165 MILES...
265 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST EXPECTED TONIGHT. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE
CENTER OF EMILY NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  EMILY IS CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND EMILY COULD BECOME A MAJOR CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM. DURING PAST HOUR...NOAA BUOY 42002 LOCATED
ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF EMILY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 67
MPH...110 KM/HR. OUTER RAINBANDS BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COASTS OF
FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH
OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM CDT POSITION...24.1 N... 95.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 100 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 959 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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