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Tropical Storm EMILY


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TROPICAL STORM EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST WED JUL 13 2005
 
...EMILY HEADED TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...TOBAGO...GRENADA...
THE GRENADINES...ST. VINCENT...AND ST. LUCIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
TRINIDAD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST OR ABOUT
315 MILES... 505 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 390
MILES... 630 KM...EAST OF TRINIDAD.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY.   ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND EMILY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE
REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE EMILY THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE
CENTER.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...11.0 N... 55.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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