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Tropical Storm ARLENE


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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005
 
...ARLENE CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN
FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.....INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND ALSO FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF ARLENE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
LATER TODAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR ARLENE TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. 
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE SOUTHEAST...THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND INTO
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 87.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 
 
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