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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN


ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2005
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.8N  75.3W      44  X  X  X 44   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  7  6 13
23.4N  77.5W      12 19  X  1 32   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2  7  9
23.8N  80.0W       X 14 11  1 26   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  4  5   KEY WEST FL        X  1 17  5 23
MUGM 200N 751W     3  1  X  X  4   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X 16  5 21
MUCM 214N 779W     5 11  1  1 18   FT MYERS FL        X  X 13  7 20
MUCF 221N 805W     X  6 10  2 18   VENICE FL          X  X  8 10 18
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  5  9 14   TAMPA FL           X  X  4 11 15
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X 12  7 19   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1 10 11
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1 10 11   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  4  4   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  9  9
MBJT 215N 712W    99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  8  8
MYMM 224N 730W    70  X  X  X 70   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
MYSM 241N 745W    37  1  X  X 38   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  4  4
MYEG 235N 758W    38  1  X  X 39   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     7 24  X  X 31   BURAS LA           X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     2 24  2  X 28   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  8 11  1 20   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X 11 11
MARATHON FL        X  3 19  2 24   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  9  9
MIAMI FL           X  4 18  2 24   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  7  7
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2 15  3 20   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  3  3
FT PIERCE FL       X  1 11  4 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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